Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.052763 0.062214 0.072792 0.085496 0.100332 0.117101 0.137484
2025-06-22 0.037567 0.049591 0.064553 0.084494 0.110330 0.142632 0.186045
2025-06-29 0.028404 0.040939 0.057870 0.082317 0.116616 0.162916 0.230053
2025-07-06 0.022238 0.034490 0.052206 0.079541 0.120488 0.179347 0.270150
2025-07-13 0.018958 0.031320 0.050274 0.081229 0.130259 0.204598 0.325456
2025-07-20 0.016220 0.028368 0.048002 0.081743 0.137919 0.227233 0.379350
2025-07-27 0.014084 0.025953 0.046087 0.082330 0.145471 0.250271 0.436428
2025-08-03 0.012466 0.024112 0.044769 0.083582 0.154080 0.275793 0.500471
2025-08-10 0.011328 0.022922 0.044356 0.086264 0.165370 0.306998 0.577845
2025-08-17 0.009646 0.020406 0.041124 0.083240 0.165789 0.318906 0.621969
2025-08-24 0.008554 0.018865 0.039489 0.082965 0.171218 0.340383 0.686047
2025-08-31 0.007536 0.017302 0.037567 0.081805 0.174677 0.358387 0.745379
2025-09-07 0.006924 0.016531 0.037191 0.083846 0.185030 0.391353 0.838918
2025-09-14 0.006134 0.015232 0.035511 0.082887 0.189029 0.412109 0.910359
2025-09-21 0.005366 0.013852 0.033442 0.080755 0.190176 0.427035 0.971303
2025-09-28 0.004667 0.012514 0.031261 0.078032 0.189596 0.438122 1.025161
2025-10-05 0.004327 0.012013 0.030968 0.079688 0.199244 0.472648 1.134915
2025-10-12 0.003958 0.011375 0.030245 0.080193 0.206219 0.501924 1.236078
2025-10-19 0.003633 0.010800 0.029592 0.080769 0.213428 0.532526 1.343826
2025-10-26 0.003373 0.010357 0.029214 0.081998 0.222413 0.568321 1.468064
2025-11-02 0.003196 0.010125 0.029361 0.084631 0.235326 0.615058 1.624351
2025-11-09 0.002816 0.009220 0.027540 0.081662 0.233150 0.624168 1.687555
2025-11-16 0.002576 0.008704 0.026729 0.081392 0.238194 0.652122 1.802149